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Sensing there's something in the water is one thing. Finally working out what it is is quite another.

Eluned Morgan MEP won't be standing in the European elections. Labour's lead candidate and MEP since 1994 has long been tipped as a future Welsh Labour leader of course - a job she won't get while she remains an MEP.

One way to set the cat among the Assembly pigeons on a Tuesday afternoon. One way, it strikes me too, of seeing rather more of your young family.

Officers on the Welsh Labour executive must be thumbing through their diaries now to decide when to meet and whether this means Derek Vaughan, leader of Neath Port Talbot council rises to number one on the list and Lisa Stevens stands as number two.

A prize for the first person to spot Eluned Morgan doing her shopping in Ponty market?

Then again, Cardiff West would be even closer to home. In fact, it is home.

UPDATE

Confirmation from Eluned Morgan that she's intending to stand down:

"I have had the tremendous honour of representing Wales in the European Parliament at a time of rapid change and development. However, after fifteen years with a constantly punishing schedule in Brussels and Strasbourg, and the huge task of representing the whole of Wales in addition to the need to better balance work and family life, I believe that it is time to hand on this privileged post."

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